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An excellent exposure to aged care for your SMSF – Ingenia

Founder and Publisher of the Switzer Report
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How long have you held Ingenia Communities Group (INA)?

We have been on the register for several months and have only recently completed our buy program for the stock.

What do you like about it?

Ingenia is building a model that specifically addresses the ageing population and the growing dilemma of housing affordability for many of Australia’s retiring citizens. The company owns a portfolio of 44 senior living communities across Australia, including rental and deferred management fee villages. More recently, Ingenia has diversified into the highly fragmented manufactured home estates (MHE), acquiring six estates since March 2013, with a further nine proposed in the near term.

MHEs are structured around a capital light, land lease model, where the owner (in this case Ingenia) is able to capture both a stable rental stream and a development profit on the sale of the above ground fixture.

Affordability is key to the model’s success. A typical resident (pensioner over the age of 55) can access Commonwealth rental assistance, which reduces the individual’s out-of-pocket expense. The company is targeting the MHE segment to contribute up to 70% of operating revenues over time, based on 240 homes per annum (10 sites delivering two new homes per month).

Ingenia Communities Group (INA)

Ingenia is tapping an unconsolidated market place (currently 2000 caravan and tourist parks and MHEs Australia wide) with a disciplined model that, if executed well, will result in impressive earnings growth and a concomitant lift in distribution yield growth in the near to medium term.

How is it better than its competitors?

Ingenia believes it has around seven competitors of comparable scale across Australia, operating in the tourist park/manufactured home estate business. Two competitors are ASX-listed and would share Ingenia’s flexibility in sourcing equity capital from the ASX for the purpose of expansion. Each model varies in its stage of maturity, geographic footprint and ultimate strategy. Ingenia has targeted the South East corner of mainland Australia, being the biggest operator in NSW today. Its model remains relatively immature.

What do you like about its management?

We are very familiar with CEO, Simon Owen, from his days running listed, retirement home operator, Aevum (ultimately bid for by Stockland). He was also, until recently, the national president of the Retirement Villages Association, so he has great empathy with the aged care and seniors-living industries.

What is your target price?

We do not tend to set price targets for our investments, preferring to assess our appraised valuation of the business, relative to the share price at a given point in time. When the underlining fundamentals are deemed expensive, then our process cycles us into counters offering better relative value.

At what point would you sell it?

Naturally, if valuation became excessive in our eyes, then we would look to trim our exposure. If we believed that the MHE consolidation story was maturing, with less and less desirable properties available, then this might prompt us to revisit the investment thesis. Additionally, the model is potentially exposed to regulatory change (i.e. changes to Federal government rental assistance), so our ongoing vigilance here will be important.

Eley Griffiths Group Pty Limited (‘EGG’) is a boutique fund manager specialising in Australian small companies. It is jointly owned by Brian Eley and Ben Griffiths, former small companies’ portfolio managers at BT Funds Management and ING Investment Management.

Important: This content has been prepared without taking account of the objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular individual. It does not constitute formal advice. Consider the appropriateness of the information in regards to your circumstances.

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