Is this week’s spooking a sign of things to come?
A serious sell-off has been a long time coming but Wall Street is trying it on right now, as a consequence of the slightly disappointing CPI reading earlier this week.
Peter Switzer is the founder of Switzer Group - a content, publishing and financial services firm. Peter is an award-winning broadcaster, talking each morning to 2GB's Ben Fordham about the latest in finance and money. You can read his views daily on Switzer.com.au, and subscribe to Switzer Report for his latest insights, analysis and recommendations.
A serious sell-off has been a long time coming but Wall Street is trying it on right now, as a consequence of the slightly disappointing CPI reading earlier this week.
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Thursday’s close for Wall Street’s most-watched Dow Jones Industrial Average was a 530-point slumping, making it the worst day since March of last year and completed four days of losses in a row. Then on Friday, along came a bigger-than-expected job creation number, which was bound to bring US rate cut doubters out of the woodwork.
Despite US stock markets and our market index hitting all-time highs, I can’t get out of my head this fact from J.P. Morgan that from 1972 Wall Street has rallied in five of the eight election years with market gains of 12-26%!
History has shown that selling stocks in May and going away until mid-September can be a profitable play but history has shown a US presidential election can change all that.
It really shouldn’t be a surprise to learn that US stock market indexes were hard pressed to keep rising on Friday, after looking like they were set to register their best week this year-to-date.
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With US stocks down again, it’s one thing to be disappointed that the fall in US inflation has stalled and the closeness of the first rate cut is likely to be pushed back
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A third consideration for US stock players has joined the two big preoccupations of recent times, which are when will inflation be beaten and when will interest rates start to fall? The third one is this: has this rally gone too far and too fast? The overnight release of the February jobs report in the States hasn’t helped settle these key issues.
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